Global Robusta coffee price today

Giá Cà phê Robusta theo dữ liệu cập nhật ngày 24/10/2026 đang ở mức 3.228,00 UScents/kg, tương đương khoảng 834.486.420 VNĐ/tấn. Thị trường duy trì xu hướng ổn định với mức biến động nhẹ +0,34% so với phiên liền trước, thiết lập mức giá giao dịch nằm ở cận dưới của biên độ giá trong tháng.

So với bình quân chung, mức giá hôm nay thấp hơn giá trung bình tháng hiện tại (3.428,04 UScents/kg, tương đương 886.199.761 VNĐ/tấn), nhưng vẫn duy trì cao hơn giá trung bình tháng trước đạt 3.073,90 UScents/kg (khoảng 794.649.259 VNĐ/tấn). Trong chu kỳ 30 ngày gần nhất, giá cà phê Robusta biến động trong biên độ từ 3.228,00 đến 3.590,00 UScents/kg (tương đương khoảng 834.486.420 đến 928.068.850 VNĐ/tấn).

Robusta coffee prices, quoted in UScents/kg, are influenced by a complex range of factors, primarily revolving around global supply and demand dynamics and macroeconomic factors.

• Supply Factors: The most critical factor is production and yield in top Robusta-producing countries, particularly Vietnam, Brazil, and Indonesia. Adverse weather conditions such as prolonged droughts (e.g., the impact of El Nino), unusual rainfall and flooding, or coffee tree diseases can significantly reduce supply. Additionally, production costs (fertilizer, labor, fuel) and inventory levels in exporting countries also directly impact market supply capacity.
• Demand Factors: Global demand for Robusta coffee, especially from major markets like Europe, the US, and Asia, is a primary driver of prices. Economic growth, consumer trends (e.g., the popularity of instant coffee or espresso blends using Robusta), and the prices of substitute coffees (such as Arabica) all affect total demand.
• Weather Factors: This is an extremely sensitive factor that often causes sharp price volatility. Climate phenomena like El Nino or La Nina can cause severe droughts or prolonged heavy rains in key coffee-growing regions, directly affecting growth cycles, harvests, and bean quality.
• Policy and Macroeconomic Factors: Import-export policies and tariffs of producing and consuming nations can affect the flow of goods. In particular, fluctuations in the US Dollar (USD) exchange rate against other currencies have a major impact, as coffee is priced in USD; a stronger USD can reduce the purchasing power of importing countries and vice versa. Global interest rates and inflation also indirectly affect production costs and investment capacity.
• Geopolitical and Speculative Factors: Political instability, regional conflicts, or trade tensions can disrupt supply chains, increasing shipping and insurance costs, thereby driving prices up. The activities of investment funds and speculators on derivative commodity exchanges can also create short-term price volatility, especially when there is significant market news or shifts in investment sentiment.

Robusta coffee prices are expected to continue to remain at high levels in the near future, with potential for further growth, although short-term technical adjustments may occur. The recent strong upward trend is bolstered by a prolonged global supply shortage and concerns over next season's production.

Key factors supporting the upward momentum include:

• Limited supply: The 2023/2024 crop in Vietnam, the largest Robusta producer, ended with lower-than-expected yields due to the impact of prolonged drought. A similar situation is occurring in Indonesia and other Robusta-growing regions.
• Record low inventories: Data from global exchanges and stockpiles show that Robusta coffee inventory levels are very low, putting significant pressure on prices.
• Stable demand: Consumption demand for Robusta coffee remains stable, especially from major roasters seeking alternative supplies for more expensive Arabica.
• Technical and speculative factors: Speculative capital flows continue to pour into the coffee market, pushing prices higher.

In the short term, upward price pressure remains present, especially as there are no clear signals of significant supply improvement. However, the market may face profit-taking or technical adjustments if prices rise too sharply. In the medium term, factors to watch closely are weather developments in key coffee-growing regions (especially the potential transition from El Nino to La Nina), monetary policies of major central banks, and the global macroeconomic situation. Nevertheless, given the current supply and demand situation, the scenario of Robusta prices remaining high or continuing to increase slightly remains the most likely.